Friday, January 07, 2011

Bad Beat Leads to Cool App

I just want to win 1/2 the time I'm a 86% favorite!

Check out this one that just happened. Cruising along @ Level 10 in the Super Stack $15K....

Full Tilt Poker Game #27073411345: Super Stack $15K Guarantee (210067339), Table 151 - 100/200 - No Limit Hold'em - 21:07:49 ET - 2011/01/07
Seat 1: Armageddon96 (5,930)
Seat 2: rudonelazio (12,190)
Seat 3: UK_Pompey (18,751)
Seat 4: wycka99 (20,257)
Seat 5: Cem1984 (18,296)
Seat 6: Nata922 (3,345)
Seat 7: TBakerman123 (13,869)
Seat 8: SmBoatDrinks (9,660)
Seat 9: matthemouth24 (13,210)
SmBoatDrinks posts the small blind of 100
matthemouth24 posts the big blind of 200
The button is in seat #7
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to SmBoatDrinks [Qc Qs]
Armageddon96 folds
rudonelazio folds
UK_Pompey folds
wycka99 folds
Cem1984 has 15 seconds left to act
Cem1984 folds
Nata922 folds
TBakerman123 raises to 400
SmBoatDrinks has 15 seconds left to act
SmBoatDrinks raises to 1,400
matthemouth24 folds
TBakerman123 calls 1,000
*** FLOP *** [Td 5c 8d]
SmBoatDrinks bets 8,260, and is all in
TBakerman123 calls 8,260
SmBoatDrinks shows [Qc Qs]
TBakerman123 shows [9d 9s]
*** TURN *** [Td 5c 8d] [6d]
*** RIVER *** [Td 5c 8d 6d] [Jd]
SmBoatDrinks shows a pair of Queens
TBakerman123 shows a flush, Jack high
TBakerman123 wins the pot (19,520) with a flush, Jack high
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 19,520 | Rake 0
Board: [Td 5c 8d 6d Jd]
Seat 1: Armageddon96 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 2: rudonelazio didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: UK_Pompey didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: wycka99 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 5: Cem1984 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 6: Nata922 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: TBakerman123 (button) showed [9d 9s] and won (19,520) with a flush, Jack high
Seat 8: SmBoatDrinks (small blind) showed [Qc Qs] and lost with a pair of Queens
Seat 9: matthemouth24 (big blind) folded before the Flop

So after having to watch my language a bit with the 2 youngest in the room I had to look up the odds myself on that one.

85.7% favorite on the flop when it all went in.
Even after the bad turn card I was still a 70.7 favorite to win.

Anyway, used the Card Player odds calculator & noticed they had an app for the iPhone, so I downloaded it & it's pretty slick. It was free @ the iTunes store, where they did have others & some cost $. Anyone pay for any of those?

Now I can calculate how bad my beats are in live games. Look out!

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